Can flood of cheap new EVs coming to Europe save its carmakers?
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Analysts argue 2024 is minor blip and that lobbying for relaxation of rules could harm industry in long term. Affordable new electric family cars – particularly those that are EU-made – have been tough to come by in Europe for the past few years. There were no launches of homegrown electric models for less than €25,000 (£20,740) across the EU during 2022 and 2023, according to the campaign group Transport & Environment.
Yet in the past few months that has changed, with a rush of new cars ranging from the Fiat Grande Panda to the Citroën ë-C3, the Hyundai Inster to the latest Dacia Spring and the Renault 5. Suddenly, buyers have options. That is no coincidence. Stricter EU carbon emissions targets kick in on 1 January, meaning carmakers will have to sell more electric cars or face fines. New battle lines are being drawn: the industry wants the rules relaxed, while environmental campaigners are urging the EU to hold firm.
Carmakers around the world are struggling with faltering demand for their models, whether powered by batteries or internal combustion engines. Falling profits have come at a difficult time for the industry, just as it tries to find the money for the expensive transition to electric vehicles (EVs).
Globally, 2024 has been a record year for electric car sales, driven by the extraordinary growth of China’s industry. But the market in Europe has gone through a painful slowdown. Matthias Schmidt, a Berlin-based electric car analyst, forecasts a 1.4% fall in sales across the 18 largest western and northern European markets in the past year (including those in the UK and Norway).