Champions League: who’s through, who’s out and who needs what in final fixtures?

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Champions League: who’s through, who’s out and who needs what in final fixtures?
Author: Guardian sport
Published: Jan, 23 2025 17:14

We look at the state of play before Wednesday’s games with places in the last 16 and playoffs up for grabs. Guaranteed a place in the last 16 and a top-two finish. Final fixture: PSV (a). Guaranteed a place in the last 16. Final fixture: Atalanta (h). Need a point to guarantee a last-16 spot but goal difference means only an unlikely set of results would push them out of the top eight if they lost. Every club from Arsenal down to Celtic in 18th inclusive are guaranteed a playoff place if they fail to finish in the top eight. Final fixture: Girona (a).

 [Bayer Leverkusen in action at Atlético Madrid, where they lost 2-1.]
Image Credit: the Guardian [Bayer Leverkusen in action at Atlético Madrid, where they lost 2-1.]

Require a draw to be sure of going through automatically. Final fixture: Monaco (h). A win would make a top-eight finish certain. They face one of the nine clubs who have been eliminated. Final fixture: RB Salzburg (a). Need a victory to be sure of going through automatically. Final fixture: Dinamo Zagreb (a).

 [Vinícius Júnior (left) and Kylian Mbappé]
Image Credit: the Guardian [Vinícius Júnior (left) and Kylian Mbappé]

Also require a win to guarantee a place in the last 16. Final fixture: Barcelona (a). Could be bumped out of the top eight even if they win because five other teams are on 13 points, meaning it could boil down to goal difference. And if goal difference can’t separate teams then it comes down to, in this order: higher number of goals scored, higher number of away goals scored, higher number of wins, higher number of away wins in the league phase. Leverkusen’s opponents have been eliminated. Final fixture: Sparta Prague (h).

 [Joy for PSG's Bradley Barcola after his goal in the comeback win at home to Manchester City.]
Image Credit: the Guardian [Joy for PSG's Bradley Barcola after his goal in the comeback win at home to Manchester City.]

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