SUNSPORT’S Weekend Wager uses in-depth stats and cutting-edge analysis to unearth the best value bets ahead of the sporting weekend. Joining our very own Will Pugh this week is football journalist Kweku Afari and betting expert Sam Rosbottom, who will be looking for the best value on a packed two days of action. There’s plenty at stake when Man City travel to rivals Arsenal on Sunday, with Erling Haaland and Gabriel Magalhaes set to renew their rivalry.

There’s also a derby in the Midlands as Wolves host an Aston Villa side with a depleted backline. And punters can also look forward to some tasty tips for the Six Nations, as well as some horse racing. Check out all our best bets for the weekend below:. Kweku Afari: “My tip is Arsenal to receive a red card at 17/2. “Ill discipline has underpinned Arsenal ever since Mikel Arteta took charge. “Arsenal have received 19 red cards since he took over in December 2019, the most in the Premier League.

“There’s been reds this season for Declan Rice, Leandro Trossard, William Saliba and Myles Lewis-Skelly. “Four reds, the most in the Premier League so far. "And I fully expect that to continue this weekend.”. Will Pugh: “I have gone for Gabriel Magalhaes to be fouled two or more times in the game at 4/1. “The Gabriel/Erling Haaland battle that is going to ensue…. "Gabriel has been fouled 11 times in the last 10 games.

“Haaland has committed seven fouls in the last 11 matches. “They’ve got history. I just fancy them going head to head.”. Sam Rosbottom: “Looking at other markets that take my fancy, Josko Gvardiol to have two shots or more in the match at 11/4 is a tasty price for me. “It’s one of those you can throw into a bet builder, set pieces could be big in this game. “He’s had 12 shots in his last eight Premier League games.

“He’s the league’s top-scoring defender at the minute with five goals. "And he’s also City’s third-top scorer.”. Kweku Afari: “Huge game. Ezri Konsa to score at 12/1. “This Villa team has suffered with injuries — Pau Torres, Tyrone Mings, Amadou Onana. “Konsa is a threat in the box. He’s only scored once in 21 games but he will be their focal point at set pieces. “Wolves have conceded 303 fouls in the league — only second to Bournemouth on 309.

“There’s going to be lots of balls going into Wolves’ box from Villa and I expect Konsa to be busy. “Now this stat is going to blow your mind. Wolves have shipped in 19 set-piece goals this season — excluding penalties — the most of any side. “The only side who conceded 20 in a season were Spurs in the 07/08 season and I expect Wolves to beat that this weekend.”. Will Pugh: “Talking of brave, Jorgen Strand Larsen to have 2+ shots on target in the game at 5/2.

“Only Dominic Solanke, with 237, has had more runs into the opposition’s penalty area this season than Strand Larsen on 210. “And 80 of those 210 runs into the area have been targeted by passes by a Wolves player. “He’s had 10 shots on target in his last eight league matches. And he’s had at least one shot on target in six of those last eight games. “With Mings’ injury and Villa’s defensive frailties, I fancy he’ll get a lot of opportunities.”.

Sam Rosbottom: “Straight in there, Youri Tielemans to have two or more shots at 9/5. “It’s a great option to have for a bet builder. He’s had nine shots in his last five Premier League starts. “He had two blocked shots and one unblocked shot against West Ham. “When Wolves mark players, I think Tielemans will fly under the radar and he does get forward and into the box.”. Sam Rosbottom: “There’s one race that stands out for me and it’s the Irish Gold Cup.

“Galopin Des Champs coming up against Fact To File. “Going into this race they’ve had two races so far this season up against each other. It’s currently 1-1. “Galopin Des Champs is the favourite in this at 4/7. While Fact to File is currently 7/2. “Whoever wins, we’re likely to see some implication for the Cheltenham anti-post Gold Cup market as well. “For the Cheltenham Gold Cup, Galopin Des Champs is favourite at 4/5, going for three in a row.

“But if Fact to File wins on Saturday it could shake the market up completely. “Fact to File is 4/1 for the Gold Cup. But it’s a big ask. Galopin is a really strong horse and it would be a big surprise if it doesn’t do the business this weekend.”. Dublin Racing Festival — Irish Gold Cup winner. Cheltenham Racing Festival: Gold Cup winner. Sam Rosbottom: “We’ve got the Lions tour this summer, players are going to want to play for that.