Man United's relegation chances are revealed by stats boffins after suffering fourth loss in a row under new boss Ruben Amorim

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Man United's relegation chances are revealed by stats boffins after suffering fourth loss in a row under new boss Ruben Amorim
Published: Dec, 31 2024 11:22

Manchester United's relegation chances have been revealed by stats boffins after their 2-0 defeat by Newcastle left them facing a shock drop. United are 14th in the Premier League and just seven points above the bottom three, leaving Ruben Amorim to admit they are fighting for their top-flight credentials.

 [Ruben Amorim's side lost 2-0 to Newcastle, their fourth straight defeat in all competitions]
Image Credit: Mail Online [Ruben Amorim's side lost 2-0 to Newcastle, their fourth straight defeat in all competitions]

The loss at Old Trafford, which came after goals from Alexander Isak and Joelinton, was the club's fourth in a row in all competitions and Amorim's fifth defeat in his first eight league games - the poorest start for a United manager in 103 years. Holding a tally of just 22 points at the halfway mark, the fallen heavyweights have been dragged closer to the dreaded dotted line and Ipswich's 2-0 victory against Chelsea at Portman Road narrowed the gap ahead of United's trip to Liverpool.

 [The result left United 14th in the Premier League and just seven points above the drop zone]
Image Credit: Mail Online [The result left United 14th in the Premier League and just seven points above the drop zone]

Now, the club's odds of falling into the Championship have been laid bare. According to Opta's supercomputer, however, there is a silver lining with United facing just a 0.1 per cent chance of being relegated in 18th place. There is, meanwhile, a zero per cent probability that they finish 19th or rock bottom.

 [But there is a silver lining with United facing just a 0.1 per cent chance of finishing in 18th place]
Image Credit: Mail Online [But there is a silver lining with United facing just a 0.1 per cent chance of finishing in 18th place]

Manchester United's relegation chances have been revealed by stats boffins. Ruben Amorim's side lost 2-0 to Newcastle, their fourth straight defeat in all competitions. The result left United 14th in the Premier League and just seven points above the drop zone.

 [Amorim has accepted blame for the dire form and admitted that relegation is now a possibility]
Image Credit: Mail Online [Amorim has accepted blame for the dire form and admitted that relegation is now a possibility]

The algorithm has tipped a 0.6 per cent chance for a 17th-placed finish while even 16th is viewed as an outside shot on 3.1 per cent. Twelfth place is United's most likely position at the end of the season, with a 15.1 per cent probability, with 13th a 13.9 per cent chance.

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