A NEW-LOOK Champions League format is set to headline a new winner of the competition, according to a supercomputer. Earlier today clubs learned their fate in the knockout phase of Europe's premier club competition. Premier League table-toppers and six-time competition winners Liverpool are due to face off against Paris Saint-Germain in the last-16.
![[UEFA Champions League trophy.]](https://www.thesun.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/epa11912633-champions-league-trophy-pictured-973832794.jpg?strip=all&w=960)
Elsewhere, Arsenal were drawn against PSV while Aston Villa take on Club Brugge. There are all-German and all-Spanish derby last-16 clashes with Bayer Leverkusen set to take on Bayern Munich and Real Madrid facing Atletico Madrid. Meanwhile, 2023 finalists Inter Milan will take on Feyenoord with Lille facing Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona up against Benfica.
![[Champions League Round of 16 fixtures.]](https://www.thesun.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/ac-21_02-champions-league-fixtures-table-1.jpg?strip=all&w=960)
With so many mouth-watering fixtures to go, it is difficult to pick a winner out of the final 16 clubs. However, Bettingexpert's supercomputer BETSiE has attempted to predict the winner after running a simulation of the tournament 100,000 times. The algorithm takes into account fixtures from last season, pre-season results and current season progress and projections for the season ahead.
![[Champions League tournament bracket.]](https://www.thesun.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/ac-21_02-champions-league-bracket-table-2.jpg?strip=all&w=960)
Starting out with Liverpool, Arne Slot's side have been tipped as marginal favourites to progress over PSG with a 53.3 per cent probability to win in the last-16. JOIN SUN VEGAS: GET £50 BONUS. The Reds' accumulative odds then drop to 40.1 per cent to win the quarter-finals and 20 per cent to win the semi-finals, before being tipped with a 12.8 per cent chance to win a seventh title.
![[Illustration of UCL winners' probabilities.]](https://www.thesun.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/RR-21-02-UCL-SUPERCOMPUTER_GRAPHIC.jpg?strip=all&w=747)
That win rate only ranks them fourth favourites overall. Serial winners and current holders Real Madrid are ranked third favourites to win the whole competition at 14.4 per cent. Second place is Barcelona, who have a favourable potential route to the final with a 15.2 per cent chance to win.
![[Arsenal FC players celebrating a goal.]](https://www.thesun.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/2025-nwaneri-arsenal-fc-celebrating-967679448.jpg?strip=all&w=960)
A surprise first-time win has been tipped for Arsenal, with the Gunners predicted to win the tournament 22.4 per cent. Mikel Arteta's side have been given an 87.3 per cent probability to beat PSV in the last-16, before 53.3 per cent odds to win the quarter-finals and 33.1 per cent to win the semi-finals.
![[Giovane Elber holding a Liverpool FC Champions League draw slip.]](https://www.thesun.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/brazilian-former-football-international-giovane-973818740.jpg?strip=all&w=960)
The club have reached the final on only one occasion in the past, losing the 2006 final 2-1 to Barcelona, while the last time they even made the semi-finals came back in 2009. Aston Villa, enjoying their first Champions League season since 1983, have been handed just a 2.8 per cent probability to win the tournament.
![[Kylian Mbappé of Real Madrid celebrating a goal.]](https://www.thesun.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/kylian-mbappe-real-madrid-celebrates-973647272_f8845b.jpg?strip=all&w=960)
The supercomputer reckons they will win their last-16 tie against Club Brugge with odds of 83.8 per cent. But the prospect of then beating one of PSG or Liverpool is not favoured by the supercomputer, with the probability plummeting to just 24.5 per cent.
Last year's finalist Dortmund have just a 5.9 per cent chance of making the final again according to the supercomputer, while that elusive win is given just a 1.8 per cent chance. Six clubs: Benfica (0.9 per cent), Atletico Madrid (0.5 per cent), Lille (0.1 per cent), PSV (0.1 per cent), Feyenoord (0.1 per cent) and Brugge (0.0 per cent) won less than one per cent of simulations.