Bettors poured over $1 million on the certain words and phrases they believe Donald Trump will use in his speech. Betters have already made wagers on what Donald Trump’s inauguration is going to look and sound like - including on what words he’ll use and whether he will end a war before even taking office.
![[Donald Trump works behind the counter during a visit to McDonald’s in Feasterville-Trevose, Pennsylvania. Roughly 4 percent of bettors believe he will use the word “McDonald’s” during his inaugural address]](https://static.independent.co.uk/2024/11/13/16/2024-10-20T202331Z_1602263675_RC2JOAA3CCKE_RTRMADP_3_USA-ELECTION-TRUMP.jpg)
A study by Casino Reports analyzed the top 10 events, by dollar amount, that people are betting on using prediction market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi and related to Trump’s inauguration. Only bets due to be resolved on or around January 20 were considered in the study.
![[The White House complex is surrounded by temporary fencing. Bettors also placed $3.4 million on whether the president-elect can negotiate a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine before midnight on January 20]](https://static.independent.co.uk/2025/01/14/13/SEI235882799.jpg)
Many placed bets on what the president-elect will say during his second inauguration, with $1.4 million poured into wagers on certain words and phrases Trump will use during his speech. Bettors placed $108,638 on the possibility that another nominee will withdraw before Trump is inaugurated, with 8 percent of bettors “certain” that another withdrawal will happen, the study says.
![[Construction workers finish up the reviewing stand on Pennsylvania Avenue. Nearly half a million —$449,736 — has been wagered on the number of executive orders Trump will issue on his first day in office]](https://static.independent.co.uk/2025/01/14/13/SEI235877120.jpg)
Bettors also placed $3.4 million on whether the president-elect can negotiate a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine before midnight on January 20. However, only 1 percent of bettors believe reaching this milestone is possible. By comparison, 16 percent of bettors believed a Ukraine-Russia ceasefire could be reached by November 7, when it first started taking bets on if Trump could end the war before returning to the White House.
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