Champions League supercomputer reveals most likely winner with Liverpool pipped despite 100% record
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LIVERPOOL look set to be top of the pops in the Champions League Group Stage. But they are not favourites to be crowned European champions for a seventh time. That is according to Bettingexpert’s supercomputer BETSiE. Following the latest round of fixtures, including Arsenal's 3-0 win over Dinamo Zagreb and Manchester City's 4-2 defeat to Paris Saint-Germain, the supercomputer ran a simulation of the competition.
![[Liverpool players celebrating a goal.]](https://www.thesun.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/liverpools-mohamed-salah-2nd-r-965736889.jpg?strip=all&w=960)
After 100,000 simulations, taking into account factors including all match results from last season, pre-season results and the current season results, projecting the season based on both pre-season expectations and xG earned both for and against during the season, the results of who will win the tournament have come in.
![[Real Madrid players celebrating a goal.]](https://www.thesun.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/rodrygo-goes-player-real-madrid-965879954.jpg?strip=all&w=768)
And the supercomputer has snubbed the elite clubs with winning heritage in the competition and has instead pulled out a club who will be winning the competition for the first time ever. That mytery winner is: Arsenal. The supercomputer predicted Arsenal to win the Champions League in 26.3 per cent of simulations, compared to Liverpool winning it in 21.6 per cent of simulations.
![[Martin Odegaard and Declan Rice of Arsenal celebrating a goal.]](https://www.thesun.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/martin-odegaard-arsenal-celebrates-scoring-965860560.jpg?strip=all&w=693)
The third most likely winner is Real Madrid with 9.4 per cent, though they are also almost certain to miss out on a top eight spot and will therefore need to progress via a play-off round. Spanish rivals Barcelona have fared far better in the league phase and are the only club who can mathematically catch Liverpool in the league.
![[Illustration of a supercomputer's prediction of the UEFA Champions League winner and top 8 teams.]](https://www.thesun.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/ac-23_01-champions-league-supercomputer-v2-table.jpg?strip=all&w=634)
