Chance of Earth being hit by asteroid in 2032 double

Chance of Earth being hit by asteroid in 2032 double
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Chance of Earth being hit by asteroid in 2032 double
Author: Andrew Griffin
Published: Feb, 07 2025 18:06

Summary at a Glance

A week ago, predictions had suggested that there was a roughly 1 per cent chance we would be hit by the rock – but it now stands at 2.3 per cent, or a one-in-43 chance.

Chance of Earth being hit by asteroid in 2032 double Rock will still almost certainly pass by without incident.

At the moment, the asteroid has been given a ranking of three on the Torino Impact Hazard Scale, which measures how much danger is posed by a rock from 0 to 10, with the latter marking the end of civilisation.

On 22 December, 2032, the Earth will be visited by an asteroid discovered last year and named 2024 YR.

The chances of Earth being hit by an asteroid in 2032 have roughly doubled – though we are almost certainly fine.

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