Net migration to drive UK population up nearly 5million in next decade to 72.5million - ONS

Net migration to drive UK population up nearly 5million in next decade to 72.5million - ONS

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Net migration to drive UK population up nearly 5million in next decade to 72.5million - ONS
Author: Michael Howie
Published: Jan, 28 2025 09:48

The UK population could reach 72.5 million by mid-2032, up from the latest estimate of 67.6 million, driven almost entirely by net migration, figures suggest. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) projects an increase of 4.9 million (7.3%) from net migration, compared with 6.8 million births and 6.8 million deaths.

Image Credit: The Standard

The data, published on Tuesday, assumes a level of long-term net international migration of 340,000 a year from mid-2028 onwards. James Robards, from the ONS, said: "The UK population is projected to grow by almost 5 million over the next decade. The driver of this growth is migration, with natural change - the difference between births and deaths - projected to be around zero. These projections are based on current and past trends, and aren't forecasts about what may or may not happen in the future.

"Our latest projections also highlight an increasingly ageing population, with the number of people aged over 85 projected to nearly double to 3.3m by 2047. This is in part because of the ageing of the baby boom generation, as well as general increases in life expectancy.".

The overall population of the UK is projected to rise by 7.3% between mid-2022 and mid-2032, compared with an increase of 6.1% over the previous 10 years. England's population is projected to grow more quickly than other UK nations in the decade to mid-2032, increasing by 7.8%, compared with 5.9% for Wales, 4.4% for Scotland and 2.1% for Northern Ireland.

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