UFC 311 prediction & betting tips: Dvalishvili to shock Nurmagomedov
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Read our free UFC betting tips ahead of Sunday morning’s pay-per-view event in LA. The first major UFC event of 2025 takes place this weekend as the Intuit Dome in Los Angeles hosts UFC 311 (3am Sunday, TNT Sports 1). And two title fights headline an intriguing card in LA, with Merab Dvalishvili taking on Umar Nurmagomedov for the bantamweight title before Islam Makhachev faces Arman Tsarukyan in the main event for the lightweight belt.
Current lightweight champ Makhachev is favourite to retain his title, with UFC betting sites pricing him as low as 2/7 to get the win, while bantamweight belt holder Dvalishvili is a surprise outsider at 9/4. Jari Prochazka versus Jamahal Hill is the pick of the fights from the rest of the undercard, with betting apps pricing the American at 8/11 to get the win, while Kevin Holland’s middleweight contest against Reinier de Ridder will attract some interest too.
Umar Nurmagomedov may be 18-0 in his mixed martial arts career, but his win last time out against Cory Sandhagen was the first time he has beaten a range fighter in the division. And while his victory against the fourth-ranked fighter in the division was convincing enough to give him a title shot, it is surprising that he is such as overwhelming favourite for this one, with betting sites pricing him at 4/11.
Dvalishvili’s style has proven tough to deal with for every other fighter in the division, with the Georgian’s combination of wrestling and cardio also proving vital when he won against Sean O’Malley to take the belt - he had been an underdog in that contest too.
