Yes Nigel Farage can become Prime Minister – but it will take him two or even three elections to get there
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It is the picture of the week. Nigel Farage’s Reform Party now have more members than the Tories and projected the figure onto Conservative Party HQ. That magic number - 131,680 - will haunt Kemi Badenoch this Christmas. A gleeful Farage has declared himself the official Leader of the Opposition and says No10 is next.
![[James Johnson, a leading pollster, predicts Nigel Farage could become PM but only after 2 or 3 elections]](https://www.thesun.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/james-johnson-former-downing-street-906762133.png?strip=all&w=960)
There is no doubt Reform are the insurgents on the rise. And I think Nigel Farage can become Prime Minister. But I think it will take Nigel and the Reform Party two - or maybe even three elections - before they can get to Downing Street. Just a couple of weeks ago, Reform were causing quite a stir with another photo.
![[Reform UK project their membership numbers onto Tory Party HQ]](https://www.thesun.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/nigel-farage-merry-christmas-kemibadenoch-960232691.jpg?strip=all&w=960)
Nigel Farage and Reform’s new Treasurer Nick Candy were snapped with Elon Musk at Donald Trump’s effective headquarters at Mar-A- Lago, Florida. The meeting took place as speculation swirls that Musk may be about to donate a multi-million-pound sum to what he sees as the British answer to MAGA: Reform UK.
Such a donation would have a big impact. Reform put in a respectable showing at the General Election, pulling in 14% of the vote. But it lacks a ground game. That crucial component in politics – printing leaflets, knocking doors, collecting data – needs hard cash, especially if the party wants to get on the same footing as the Tories and Labour.
Musk already helped one insurgent win this year. His resource, in the shape of $200 million, bolstered Trump’s operation and sponsored ads, digital content, and people knocking on doors around the country. There are lessons any UK campaign can learn from their techniques.
