Can Brady, Brody and The Brutalist beat the competition? And will controversy scupper record nominee Emilia Pérez’s chances? Our critic makes his final predictions – and highlights who should have been nominated. Will win: The Brutalist. Should win: Nickel Boys.
![[Peter Bradshaw]](https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2018/01/10/Peter_Bradshaw,_L.png?width=180&dpr=1&s=none&crop=none)
Shoulda been a contender: I Saw the TV Glow. Will win: Brady Corbet for The Brutalist. Should win: Brady Corbet for The Brutalist. Shoulda been a contender: Jesse Eisenberg for A Real Pain. Will win: Adrien Brody for The Brutalist. Should win: Timothée Chalamet for A Complete Unknown.
![[Director, writer and star of A Real Pain, Jesse Eisenberg, with co-star Kieran Culkin]](https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/ef55911eafd97ca1bebdb68e8afe8564c673738e/154_0_2693_1616/master/2693.jpg?width=445&dpr=1&s=none&crop=none)
Shoulda been a contender: Cillian Murphy for Small Things Like These. Will win: Demi Moore for The Substance. Should win: Mikey Madison for Anora. Shoulda been a contender: Marianne Jean-Baptiste for Hard Truths. Will win: Kieran Culkin for A Real Pain. Should win: Kieran Culkin for A Real Pain.
![[Demi Moore in The Substance]](https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/42245bfc301f8a6bf92dfbe850dacd6973a1e199/0_0_3125_1875/master/3125.jpg?width=445&dpr=1&s=none&crop=none)
Shoulda been a contender: Michael Potts for The Piano Lesson. Will win: Zoe Saldaña for Emilia Pérez. Should win: Isabella Rossellini for Conclave. Shoulda been a contender: Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor for Nickel Boys. Will win: Flow. Should win: Memoir of a Snail. Shoulda been a contender: The Most Precious of Cargoes.
![[A cat from the film Flow]](https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/ccb58855ad698ce1c753d923d7388f7911ea57f8/437_0_4132_2480/master/4132.jpg?width=445&dpr=1&s=none&crop=none)
Will win: Peter Straughan for Conclave. Should win: Peter Straughan for Conclave. Shoulda been a contender: Justin Kuritzkes for Queer. Will win: Brady Corbet and Mona Fastvold for The Brutalist. Should win: Jesse Eisenberg for A Real Pain. Shoulda been a contender: Justin Kuritzkes for Challengers.
![[Ralph Fiennes in Conclave]](https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/31e3fbd081971ae58e13367884f7b6ff253d5fcc/0_2810_3667_2200/master/3667.jpg?width=445&dpr=1&s=none&crop=none)
Will win: Basel Adra, Hamdan Ballal, Yuval Abraham and Rachel Szor for No Other Land. Should win: Basel Adra, Hamdan Ballal, Yuval Abraham and Rachel Szor for No Other Land. Shoulda been a contender: Maroesja Perizonius, Alice McShane for Children of the Cult.
![[No Other Land]](https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/807660bda6b7da5f2274a28017c08eb7b049755b/0_0_2813_1688/master/2813.jpg?width=445&dpr=1&s=none&crop=none)
Will win: Emilia Pérez. Should win: The Girl With the Needle. Shoulda been a contender: All We Imagine As Light. Will win: Nathan Crowley and Lee Sandales for Wicked. Should win: Suzie Davies and Cynthia Sleiter for Conclave. Shoulda been a contender: Stanislas Reydellet and Cécilia Blom for The Substance.
![[Cynthia Erivo and Ariana Grande in Wicked]](https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/5d6d2f847ccdc9ede00fa66dd27c3a2f4e3f15fb/131_0_2499_1500/master/2499.jpg?width=445&dpr=1&s=none&crop=none)
Will win: Lol Crawley for The Brutalist. Should win: Lol Crawley for The Brutalist. Shoulda been a contender: Ranabir Das for All We Imagine As Light. Will win: Frances Hannon, Laura Blount and Sarah Nuth for Wicked. Should win: Frances Hannon, Laura Blount and Sarah Nuth for Wicked.
Shoulda been a contender: Michelle Côté, Colin Penman, Sean Sansom and Brandi Boulet for The Apprentice. Will win: Paul Tazewell for Wicked. Should win: Arianne Phillips for A Complete Unknown. Shoulda been a contender: Steve Newburn for Sasquatch Sunset. Will win: David Jancso for The Brutalist.
